Prices and references
Urea FOB Egypt, Black Sea and Middle East, DAP NOLA and delivered France, MAP CFR Brazil, TSP, potash CIF, UAN, ammonium nitrate and NPK: redistributable series updated daily, with the World Bank's public history.
Market intelligence · fertilizers · Europe and world
The fertilizer market read every week by a specialist: nitrogen, phosphates, potash, sulphur.
Reference and delivered-Europe prices, ammonia and phosphate production costs, EU and world customs flows, regulation and a signed reading: the figures and the analysis you need to buy, sell or arbitrate.
Weekly edition on Mondays · reading in French, English and Spanish · access per organisation, no card needed.
What you find in the subscriber space
A space updated every week, covering the four fertilizer markets from ammonia and rock to the delivered price. Sources are cited, models are explained, the reading is signed.
Production costs
Ammonia and urea computed from TTF gas and the EU carbon allowance, DAP from acid and ammonia, the minimum sale price of a European producer: explicit models, recalibrated every week.
Customs flows
Flow map of the European Union (27 declarants), the United Kingdom, Brazil, the United States, Morocco and China, by product and origin, for the latest month available; cross-reading of the sulphur, ammonia and phosphate chains.
Regulation and policies
The carbon border adjustment mechanism, the duties on Russian and Belarusian fertilizers, Chinese export quotas, Indian subsidies and US countervailing duties, followed in the reading with their dates and their effect on prices.
Demand and affordability
Demand by country, apparent consumption from customs and fertilizer prices set against wheat, maize and soybean.
Signed reading and press review
One analysis a week, written from computed facts, then one column per market, nitrogen, phosphates, potash and sulphur, with headlines from the world press translated.
The market in figures
A market shaped by geopolitics
Fertilizers cross straits, customs borders and government decisions. Four dated facts set the scene for 2026.
- of world-traded urea went through the Strait of Hormuz before its closure in February 2026
- 31 %
- duty on Russian and Belarusian nitrogen fertilizers entering the EU in 2028 (Regulation 2025/1227)
- €315/t
- CBAM enters its definitive phase: ammonia, urea, nitrates, DAP and MAP pay for carbon at the border
- 1 Jan 2026
- of suspended Chinese DAP and MAP exports, from December 2025 to August 2026
- 9 months
Dated and sourced facts in the subscriber space: WTO, EUR-Lex, S&P Global Commodity Insights.
Who writes
Guillaume Milochau ran feed phosphate sales at Yara Phosphates then Aliphos. Since 2021 he has published a weekly urea and phosphates report read by producers, distributors and feed manufacturers across Europe. fertiliser-market.com is its online version, extended to the four fertilizer markets.
For whom
- Cooperatives, distributors and fertilizer importers
- Raw-material traders and charterers
- Producers' sales teams and management
- Banks, analysts and public bodies
Request access
Access is opened per organisation, after a call about your needs and a quote. No online payment: we open your space, you invite your colleagues. A four-week trial is possible on request.
guillaume.milochau@praxed.fr
fertiliser-market.com · Chatou, France
Feed phosphates have their own site: feed-phosphates.com
Write to us with your company, your role and the materials you follow; we reply within two working days.